How Large is the Shadow Inventory of Homes?

By Nick Timiraos
A new report estimates that the “shadow inventory” of potential foreclosures and other distressed sales will peak this year at 4.7 million units, a roughly 10 month supply of homes.
But that supply could shrink to as low as 4 million units or swell to as high as 5.6 million homes depending on how many delinquent loans actually move through to foreclosure, according to a report released Monday by John Burns Real Estate Consulting of Irvine, Calif.
The report also estimates that the distressed share of home sales will rise to around 40% of all home re-sales through 2012. And that the shadow inventory of distressed loans will stay at elevated levels through 2016. more...